Know the Oddscrappy Craps

Two dice, 36 outcomes

Chapter 1: Foundations · Lesson 1 of 21 · 6 min read

Count the 36 ways two dice can land and see why 7 rules the table.

Craps is played with two ordinary six-sided dice. Each die is fair, so every face has the same chance.

Paint one die red and one blue. The red die can land 6 ways and the blue die 6 ways, which makes 6 × 6 = 36 combinations, each just as likely as the others. A red 1 with a blue 6 is a different combination from a red 6 with a blue 1, even though both total 7.

What matters in craps is the total. Totals are not equally likely, because some have more combinations:

Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ways 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
Chance 2.8% 5.6% 8.3% 11.1% 13.9% 16.7% 13.9% 11.1% 8.3% 5.6% 2.8%

Notice the shape: the ways climb by one up to 7, then fall again. 7 is the most likely total, at 6 ways out of 36, or 1 in 6. Nearly every bet in craps is a bet on whether some number shows up before a 7 does, so it pays to remember the column of "ways".

A trick for remembering: totals the same distance from 7 have the same number of ways. 6 and 8 both have 5 ways, 5 and 9 have 4, 4 and 10 have 3, 3 and 11 have 2, and 2 and 12 have 1.

Some totals can be rolled as a pair (both dice the same): 2-2 is a "hard 4", 3-3 a "hard 6", 4-4 a "hard 8" and 5-5 a "hard 10". Any other way to make those totals is "easy". Hard 6 is one combination; easy 6 is four (1-5, 5-1, 2-4, 4-2).

Show the math: Counting the 36 combinations

Each die shows 1 to 6 independently, so the outcomes are the ordered pairs (red, blue): 6 × 6 = 36, each with probability 1/36.

Ways to make total t: for t from 2 to 7 it is t − 1; for t from 7 to 12 it is 13 − t. Check: 1+2+3+4+5+6+5+4+3+2+1 = 36.

P(7) = 6/36 = 1/6 ≈ 16.67%. P(6) = 5/36 ≈ 13.89%.

Try it yourself. No betting yet: just roll and watch the totals.

Roll the dice

Interactive practice table. Try this in the app (free, play money).

Now let the computer do the rolling. Over a few hundred rolls the shape from the table appears on its own.

7 vs 2, 600 times

Interactive practice table. Try this in the app (free, play money).

The tally chart is a histogram of the 11 totals, with the expected counts drawn as faint outlines.

Quiz

How many equally likely combinations do two dice have?

  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 36
  4. 21
Show answer

C: 36. 6 faces × 6 faces = 36. The 11 totals are not equally likely.

Quiz

Which total is most likely?

  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. They're all equal
Show answer

B: 7. 7 can be made 6 ways (1-6, 2-5, 3-4, 4-3, 5-2, 6-1), more than any other total.

Quiz

How many ways can you roll a 9?

  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 5
  4. 6
Show answer

B: 4. 3-6, 4-5, 5-4, 6-3. Shortcut: 9 is two away from 7, so it has 6 − 2 = 4 ways.

Quiz

Which of these is a "hard 8"?

  1. 2-6
  2. 3-5
  3. 4-4
  4. 6-2
Show answer

C: 4-4. Hard means a pair. 4-4 is the only hard 8; the other four ways are easy 8s.

Play the practice scenes, answer the quizzes and track your progress in the app.

Open this lesson in crappy: free, play money

All 21 craps lessons · Glossary · Craps odds chart